Bills Top 2 Advantages
Good advantage – Pass rush – In Mike Pettine’s scheme, the Bills talented defensive line is producing. Coming off a six sack performance last week, Buffalo is facing a rookie QB in Geno Smith, who has a tendency to hold onto the ball too long at times.
Best advantage – Run game – The Bills’ two-pronged ground attack of
Bills Number 1 Must
Third down conversions – The Bills improved their third down efficiency last week converting on 43 percent of their opportunities (6-14), but they face a top five third down defense in the Jets. New York opponents are converting just over 29 percent of their third downs (29.4%).
Attacking rookie QBs
No fly zone
Truth be told the Jets may not need to blitz. They have three sacks in their first two games, but their completion percentage allowed is the lowest in the league. New York’s defense is allowing a completion percentage of just 48.6 percent as they held both Josh Freeman (TB) and Tom Brady (NE) to less than 50 percent completion rates in the first two weeks.
The Jets are expected to have one of their best offensive weapons back in the lineup this week. Slot receiver and punt returner Jeremy Kerley is expected to return to action on Sunday after missing New York’s Week 2 game at New England. Kerley suffered a concussion in Week 1 against Tampa Bay.
In 2012 Kerley led the team in receptions (56), receiving yards (827), yards per reception (14.8) and plays of 40-plus yards (6). In the season opener last year against the Bills, Kerley had a 12-yard touchdown reception and a 68-yard punt return for a touchdown.
The retirement of long time special teams coordinator Mike Westhoff has led to his longtime assistant assuming the post in Ben Kotwica. It’s only been two games, but the Jets cover teams are not off to a sparkling start. New York currently ranks 27th in punt and kick coverage. Opponents are averaging almost 12 yards per punt return (11.9) and better than 29 yards per kick return (29.3). There could finally be some opportunities for
Through two games Geno Smith has been under duress a good deal. He’s been sacked nine times, partly due to his own tendency to hold onto the ball. That’s fourth-most in the league. He’s also been hit another 17 times in the first two games. So on 74 total drop backs this season, Smith has been pressured 26 times or more than once every three drop backs (35.1%).
The Jets have been solid against the run for the better part of the last four years. In 2012 they slipped badly to 26th in the league against the run. They’ve rebounded nicely in the early stages of 2013. Facing a 1,400-plus yard rusher in Doug Martin in Week 1 they held him to 65 yards on 24 carries. New England’s Stevan Ridley was similarly neutralized managing just 40 yards on 16 carries. The Jets are allowing less than 60 yards rushing per game (59.5).
Quote of the Week
“I’d be a liar if said this game didn’t mean more to me or I didn’t want to win it. Coaches in the NFL I think are born with a competitive gene, a hyper competitive gene and you want to win at everything.”
--Bills defensive coordinator Mike Pettine
Stat of the Week
Since 2010 the Bills have averaged 4.52 yards per rush against the Jets (141-637, 3 TDs).
Milestones in reach
Fred Jackson needs 118 rushing yards to pass Joe Cribbs (4,445) for third-place on the Bills all-time list.
Stevie Johnson needs one touchdown reception to record one in each of his first three games of the season for the third straight year.
The Bills rank fourth in the league in red zone touchdown percentage (80%) having converted four of their first five opportunities this season.