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Scouting Report - Week 17 - Bills-Jets


**Top 3 Individual Matchups
1 - Marcell Dareus vs. Wesley Johnson

**Jets veteran center Nick Mangold is out for the season, so Johnson has stepped in to fill the void for most of the second half of the season. Dareus will be a mismatch inside for Buffalo.

2 - Jordan Mills vs. Leonard WilliamsWilliams is one of the Jets who is still playing hard right to the end of the season. Jordan Mills is coming off a steady performance against Cameron Wake. He'll need to adjust his approach against the powerful Williams.

3 - Kevon Seymour vs. Brandon MarshallIt's no secret that Marshall is Ryan Fitzpatrick's favorite target. Seymour, who will be starting in place of the injured Stephon Gilmore, has come a long way in his rookie season. He'll have a great test to close out his first NFL season.

Top 2 Bills Advantages
Good advantage - Red zone offense
The Bills have the number five red zone offense in football scoring more than 65 percent of the time. The Jets have been a below average squad in keeping opponents out of their end zone. They've given up touchdowns 56 percent of the time to rank 21st in the league.

Best advantage - Run gameBuffalo's run game has been hot down the stretch with three 200-plus yard rushing days in three of their last four games. Against a middle of the pack run defense like the Jets (14th), the Bills should be able to continue that success.

Bills Number 1 Must
Repeat performance
In last year's season finale there was a lot more riding on the game for the Jets, and the Bills took advantage of Ryan Fitzpatrick's aggressiveness picking him off three times in the game to hand New York a loss, which kept them out of the playoffs. Fitzpatrick will be motivated to go out with a win in what will likely be his last game as a Jet. Buffalo has to be opportunistic knowing Fitzpatrick will provide them with chances for takeaways.

Scouting Eye
Fitzpatrick back in the saddle
He was benched in Week 13, but an injury to Bryce Petty put Ryan Fitzpatrick back in the lineup just two weeks later. In limited action the last two weeks Fitzpatrick has gone 13-31 passing for 167 yards and three interceptions. He'll get the start Sunday against the Bills. In the first meeting with the Bills, Fitzpatrick went 24-34 passing for 374 yards and a touchdown with a passer rating of 116.5.

RBs banged upBoth of the Jets top running backs have been sidelined in practice this week by injuries. Matt Forte, who missed last week's game against New England is still hobbled by a knee injury. Backup Bilal Powell came out of last week's game versus the Patriots with a knee injury too. If neither of them are able to play Brandon Wilds and Brandon Burks would be counted on at running back. Wilds however, is dealing with a hamstring injury himself.

Forte rushed for 100 yards and three touchdowns back in the Week 2 meeting with Buffalo.

**A case of the dropsies

**Blame it on the shuffling at quarterback. Blame it on the season-ending injury to Eric Decker. The bottom line is the Jets receiving corps has one of the worst drop rates in the NFL. With one week to go in the season New York's receivers have a drop rate of just over eight percent. That ranks 31st in the league. Not surprisingly, the Jets completion percentage this season also ranks 31st as they've connected on just 56 percent of their passes.

Turnover disasterAnother reason the team's completion percentage is so low is too many of their pass attempts have wound up in the hands of the opponent. The Jets lead the league in interceptions thrown with 25 on the season. Only San Diego comes close with 19 on the season. That's why New York leads the NFL is number of points allowed off turnovers with an eye-popping total of 110 this season.

The Jets turnover margin is the worst in the league at minus-23. With just 11 takeaways themselves, the Jets have the fewest possessions off turnovers in the NFL.

Red zone woesThe Jets offense has probably struggled in the red zone more than anywhere else. They are dead last in red zone touchdown percentage scoring just a bit more than a third of time (36.2%). The problem is two-fold.

They're unable to convert third downs inside the opponent's 20-yard line with just a 13 percent success rate. They've also been careless with the football down there with eight total turnovers in the red zone.

BlowoutsNew York has had their share of tough losses this season. Half of their defeats haven't even been close. It's why they lead the NFL in average margin of defeat at 16 points. Five of their 11 losses have been by 21 points or more. Three of their last four losses have been by 21, 31 and 38 points.

Buffalo Chips
Quote of the week
"It's a great opportunity to go out there and win. There's no better way to end this season, even though it's not where we wanted to finish, but to finish 8-8, obviously with losing coach Ryan and coach Rob, as a team we want to still band together and show that we still have unity. For me personally I just want to go out and execute and do my job."

QB EJ Manuel

Stat of the weekThe Bills have won five of the last six against the Jets including the last two at MetLife Stadium.

Milestones in reachWith two rushing touchdowns the Bills would reach 30 on the season making them the 10th team in league history to reach that figure.

Charles Clay is looking to post a touchdown in his fourth straight game, which would set a franchise mark.

LeSean McCoy needs 100 yards rushing for his eighth 100-yard game this season. It would be the most by a Bill since Thurman Thomas had nine in 1992.

Robert Woods needs one reception to reach 200 for his career.

Final noteWith two touchdowns Sunday the Bills will have a total of 50 for the season. That has happened just three times in team history. The last time was 1991.

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