What They're Saying

What they're saying | 7 fantasy football projections for the Bills in 2020

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1. Josh Allen projected to be a top 10 fantasy quarterback

ESPN.com projects Allen to be QB1 this year in fantasy football. Being ranked 9th among quarterbacks, the Bills play-caller should be an important piece on any fantasy team.

QB RANK: #9

2020 OUTLOOK:

Allen is the perfect example of why rushing is so important when it comes to QB fantasy evaluations. The 2018 first-round pick finished as fantasy's No. 6 QB last season despite ranking 23rd in passing yards, 21st with only 20 passing TDs, third worst in completion percentage (59%), and 11th worst in YPA (6.7). Of course, Allen also produced a 109-510-9 rushing line and has now paced the position in rushing TDs in each of his two NFL seasons (17 total). Allen's passing troubles remain a red flag, but the addition of Stefon Diggs should help his cause. As long as he keeps running, Allen will be a backend QB1 option.

2. Josh Allen is a QB6 with QB1 upside

Pro Football Focus thinks Josh Allen could be a solid QB1 in fantasy football this season. The third-year quarterback should continue to show progress in his development as a passer and new weapon Stefon Diggs should help with that.

Enter Diggs, who led the NFL in receiving yards on deep passes in 2019 and deserves to be named alongside the league's premiere route-running technicians. Allen significantly improved in completion rate (+6%), TD rate (+1.2%), INT rate (-1.8%), adjusted yards per attempt (+1.3), and QB rating (+17.4) from 2018-2019 thanks in large part to the additions ofJohn BrownandCole Beasley, so another jump in 2020 wouldn't be shocking. Still, it's going to take a lot for Diggs to take Allen from a brutal to even average deep-ball passer.With that said, Allen is still plenty worthy of his QB1 fantasy hype. He joined Jackson as the only QBs with at least 100 rush attempts in 2019. Allen is tied for eighth among all players with 17 rushing touchdowns since entering the league. You don't have to think Allen is a good real-life QB, but 2019's fantasy QB6 is again more than capable of putting up 18 fantasy points per week.

3. Devin Singletary lands on USA Today's fantasy all breakout team

USA Today put Singletary on their all-breakout fantasy team, as he will start the season as the Bills lead back.

Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills (ADP: 45): Electric ability behind a quality line. He's a dangerous two-way threat, with a rookie running back as his primary competition. Look for a possible step forward from QB Josh Allen, too.

4. Zack Moss is the Bills running back you want on your team.

NFL.com writer Adam Rank explains why Zack Moss is the Bills running back you want on your fantasy team.

Zack Moss in this Buffalo Bills offense that has a number of good fantasy players including Josh Allen, and Stefon Diggs who was acquired by the Vikings. I'm really focusing in on Zack Moss, you can probably get him in the ninth round of your fantasy draft, and I understand he's walking into a situation where they already have Devin Singletary but realize that the Bills invested a third-round pick in him. It's the same draft capital that they put into Devin Singletary, but I think what they really like about Zack Moss is his ability to run inside the tackles, and I figured that he is going to end up being their goal-line back by the end of the season. So, the running back that you're going to want from this offense, trust me on this, is Zack Moss.

5. Stefon Diggs has a good fantasy draft value

Sports Illustrated has Stefon Diggs slated to have a solid fantasy year and could be a value pick in your fantasy draft.

Last year Diggs had a flip from his previous skillset. Over his first five years in the league, he worked more like a possession type receiver (11.6 yards per catch), highlighted by his success in 2018 (102/1021/9). He set career-highs in receiving yards (1,130), yards per catch (17.9), and catches over 20 yards (20) in 2019. Diggs saw his targets (94) fall by 37 percent, which was more of Vikings' passing issue. The Bills ranked poorly in WR production (192/2411/15) in 2019, despite showing growth. Buffalo wants to run the ball while developing its deep passing game. Diggs will see a sharp decline in his yards per catch in 2020 with only a slight bump in targets.Over the previous three seasons, he finished 19th, 10th, 22nd in WR scoring in PPR leagues. In his early projections, I struggled with the proper value for his opportunity. The Bills have three viable pass-catchers at wide receiver. For now, Diggs should receive a minimum of one-third of Buffalo's wide receiver completions leading to 75 catches for 1,089 yards and seven touchdowns. Diggs ranks 17th at wide receiver after my first run at the projections. If his completions translated to the same value in WR targets, then Diggs would see a bump to 140 targets based on last year's wide receiver chances (320) for the Bills. His career catch rate (68.4) suggests his catches should be closer to 95 if he did indeed receive 140 targets.

6. John Brown is a WR3 with upside

CBS Sports 2020 fantasy outlook for John Brown has him as a WR3 this year. With Stefon Diggs now in town, Brown might not see as many double teams from opposing defenses. On the flip side, his target share will go down, as the Bills have brought in many playmakers on offense this year.

John Brown had a bounce-back season in 2019 and the second-best year of his career, but he's going from a borderline Fantasy starter in all leagues to a key reserve after Buffalo acquired Stefon Diggs. Now, Brown should only be drafted with a mid-round pick at best in all leagues. With Diggs on the roster, Brown should see a downtick in targets after he led Buffalo last season with a career-best 115. It helped Brown score at least 11 PPR points in 12 of 15 games (he sat out Week 17 to rest for the playoffs). But now, Brown will be the No. 2 receiver for Josh Allen, and he could struggle if Diggs completely takes over the lead role. Brown is the type of receiver who could still excel with minimal targets, but he's not someone to draft as a starter in most formats. Consider him a No. 3 Fantasy receiver in all leagues.

7. ESPN projects Bills D/ST to be the best unit in fantasy

ESPN.com thinks the Bills defense is going to pick up right where the left off last year. With new additions in every level of this defense, there's no doubt that this crew will disrupt opposing offenses and get a lot of points for your fantasy team.

D/ST RANK: #1

2020 OUTLOOK:

Yet another strong performance from Sean McDermott's defense helped the Bills' D/ST to a second-consecutive top-seven fantasy season in 2019. Buffalo ranked no worse than eighth in interceptions, forced fumbles and points allowed, and was top-three in yardage allowed for the second consecutive season. While Lorenzo Alexander (retirement) will be missed, the Buffalo defense is arguably better after adding Quinton Jefferson, Mario Addison and Josh Norman. Led by the likes of Tre'Davious White, Jordan Poyer, Micah Hyde, Jerry Hughes and emerging youngsters Ed Oliver and Tremaine Edmunds, the Bills' D/ST is arguably your best option in fantasy.

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