1. ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. thinks people are sleeping on Bills
ESPN draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr. doesn’t know why people are sleeping on the Bills for this season. Kiper appeared on One Bills Live on Friday and discussed who could surprise people in 2019. For the Bills to surprise, the key will be to build around Josh Allen.
“Josh Allen proved he could be a big-time quarterback,” Kiper said. “… I saw him do things that other quarterbacks, even veterans, couldn’t do. Athletically, competitiveness is phenomenal. The arm, we know he has. Some of the layups, for whatever reason, he’ll just miss a few of those throws that make you scratch your head a little bit, but if he can just even things out a bit, keep working, which he will, people are just sleeping on the Buffalo Bills for some reason.”
General manager Brandon Beane has already added a multitude of new weapons to the offense this offseason with the additions of John Brown, Cole Beasley and Tyler Kroft as pass catchers. That combined with an improved offensive line could lead the Bills to be a surprise team of the season.
"I believe in Josh Allen,” Kiper said. “I think the Bills fans do and I know that team does internally and that organization does. Build around Josh, keep that defense going and I think the Bills could be the surprise team of the NFL this season.”
2. NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah differentiates top offensive tackle prospects
Jonah Williams, Jawaan Taylor and Andre Dillard are all projected to come off the board between the seventh and 20th pick during the draft. The top three offensive tackles in the draft all differentiate in who is going to be the safest pick, who has the most upside and who still has the most work to do.
Daniel Jeremiah describes them as an “elite pass protector, the steady Eddie and you’ve got the mauler with those three guys.”
Williams is the safest pick Jeremiah says.
“When you consider the number of snaps, the level of competition, the way he comes across with teams he’s interviewed with in the league, to me he’s the high floor guy,” Jeremiah said. “He doesn’t have the size or elite athleticism to give him a high ceiling, but he should be a real solid player and perhaps a Pro Bowl player on the inside.”
Dillard is the best pass protector of all three and has been showing improvement in the run game and overall every day, says Jeremiah. He won’t be someone who can drive people into the ground but he can become attached and wall people up. His pass protection and athleticism give him the greatest upside.
Taylor has the biggest question mark skill-wise but is a monster down low physically.
“He’s a nasty guy who will bring the most physicality to the position,” Jeremiah said. “He’s got some work to do technique-wise, hand-wise that needs to be ironed out compared to the other two. So for room to grow he’d be that guy.”
3. Win-probability for each week of the Bills season
The 2019 NFL schedule was released last week and ESPN released its win-probability for each week of the season.
The Bills are the favorites in eight games of the 2019 season. The Bills have the highest chances to win in Weeks 2, 3, 7, 9, 11, 12, 14, 17. Six of those eight games will be played at New Era Field. The Bills have the highest percentage of winning Week 7 against Miami with a 74 percent chance.
The Bills next strongest chances of winning come Week 9 against Washington, Week 11 in Miami, the home-opener Week 3 against Cincinnati and Week 17 against the Jets.
Buffalo is also favored against the Giants in Week 2, the Broncos in Week 12 and the Ravens in Week 14.
The Bills will have the lowest chance to win at 15 percent in Foxborough against the Patriots.
Buffalo’s schedule is identical in that the Bills are favorites in four games during the first eight games of the season and favorites in four of the final eight. Compared to the AFC East, the Patriots are favorites in 14 games, the Jets in seven and the Dolphins in zero.