The Buffalo Bills are 11.5-point favorites for tonight's game against the Miami Dolphins. The game will kickoff from Highmark Stadium at 8:15 pm and will air on Prime Video (WKBW in Buffalo).
Here are some additional notes for the game:
- Bills have won 12 of their 13 games against the Dolphins
- Sean McDermott is 8-0 at home against Miami
- Miami is 0-2 and seeking its first win of the season
- QB Tua Tagovailoa is 5-8 as a starter in primetime and has lost five of his last six games
- Miami HC Mike McDaniel is 0-4 as a head coach and coordinator when his team has three or fewer days rest
Dolphins vs Bills moneyline prediction
Weird things happen on Thursday nights, but I can't find a logical path to victory for the Dolphins given the state of their defense, which will have no shot at slowing down perhaps the league's top home offense.
Final score prediction: Bills to win 36-23
Dolphins vs Bills betting trend to know
The Bills have gone Over their team total in 10 of their last 11 home games.
This could be a pivotal game for Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel if it gets ugly. The Bills are rolling and Miami is 0-2. The Buffalo offense could be in for a big night in this one. The Dolphins have looked bad on defense. Josh Allen has a big night for the offense. The Dolphins won't keep up.
Pick: Bills 33, Dolphins 17
Gagnon: Bills (-12.5)
The Bills destroyed the Dolphins on a Thursday night in Miami last September. This time around, the Dolphins are in much worse shape, and the game is in Orchard Park. Let's not overthink this.
Moton: Dolphins (+12.5)
The Dolphins are a tough side to make a case for, given their lopsided loss in Week 1 and the dreaded players-only meeting that preceded a slow start last week.
However, the Dolphins showed some fight against the New England Patriots in Week 2. They erased a 12-point first-quarter deficit and took the lead midway through the fourth quarter of that game. If Miami plays with an ounce of pride against another division foe on a short week, it should be able to cover this massive line.
Predictions
Dolphins: Moton
Bills: Davenport, Gagnon, Hanford, Knox, O'Donnell, Sobleski
Mike McDaniel's hot seat will be a topic of conversation here, but the issue at Buffalo will be generating a running game. Miami ranks 29th with 69.5 rushing yards per game – and that comes with a -4 turnover ratio. That's not a recipe for success against Buffalo – which averages 35.5 points per game. The Bills have won the last four regular-season meetings by 14.8 points per game.
Pick: Bills 34, Dolphins 15
The Miami Dolphins are trying their best to get their offense back on track with Tua Tagovailoa with big plays to their speedy trio of Tyreek Hill, De'Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle. But that's one half of getting off the mat. The other is playing any kind of competent defense, which won't happen against Josh Allen and James Cook on the road on a short week.
Pick: Bills win 34-17 and cover the spread.
