The Bills have won five straight against Miami, but the Dolphins have covered in five straight games overall. Something has to give. Buffalo was awful on offense last week in losing to the Steelers at home, but I think they bounce back as Josh Allen gets back on track. Tua Tagovailoa won't be able to keep up. Even in heat of South Florida, I expect the Bills to bounce back.
Pick: Bills 29, Dolphins 18
In the third and final deadlock of the week, the gang is again split by an obnoxious hook with the Buffalo Bills laying 3.5 points on the road against the Miami Dolphins.
O'Donnell on the Bills: "In Week 1, as a 6.5-point home favorite, Buffalo was upset by a Steelers team that deserved more respect from the home side and oddsmakers alike. The Dolphins, meanwhile, went to Foxborough as three-point road 'dogs and knocked off the divisional-rival New England Patriots. While neither result was truly surprising, I expect the script to flip this week with the Bills evening both their and Miami's record at 1-1 with a decisive road victory. Buffalo had huge expectations coming into the season, got a little early dose of reality, and will use that to right the ship in Week 2. It also doesn't hurt that head coach Sean McDermott has lost to the Dolphins only once since taking over in 2017 (7-1 record) with all but one of those wins coming by more than three points."
Score Prediction: Bills 26, Dolphins 23
The Bills were upset in Week 1, which puts more urgency on a road AFC East matchup against an improved Dolphins team. Josh Allen is 5-1 as a starter against Miami.
Pick: Bills 28, Dolphins 24
After watching Josh Allen absorb three sacks and eight other hits from the Steelers defense last week, Coach Sean McDermott will certainly adjust the protection to keep his franchise quarterback upright. Lurking in the Dolphins secondary will be cornerback Xavien Howard, who led the N.F.L. in interceptions (10) last season. It was Howard's forced fumble and recovery in the fourth quarter against the Patriots that broke the game open for the Dolphins' Week 1 win. Allen and the Bills (0-1) should be able to keep their Super Bowl hopes alive, but with these A.F.C. East rivals sniffing each other out, it will be close.
Pick: Bills -3.5